Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.015805 3.345434 3.701947 4.117141 4.588576 5.108597 5.727492
2025-04-27 2.576864 3.027588 3.549456 4.202091 5.001585 5.955676 7.190320
2025-05-04 2.297987 2.816460 3.447930 4.281388 5.364061 6.738824 8.642282
2025-05-11 2.085034 2.642810 3.350263 4.325905 5.656232 7.435955 10.047173
2025-05-18 1.915743 2.497846 3.261932 4.356073 5.912137 8.091812 11.460385
2025-05-25 1.726003 2.302934 3.081841 4.232528 5.927789 8.396940 12.387522
2025-06-01 1.591238 2.168285 2.967720 4.183320 6.034303 8.831591 13.550595
2025-06-08 1.482655 2.059542 2.877905 4.155970 6.162972 9.303500 14.823217
2025-06-15 1.435182 2.033360 2.902913 4.299185 6.563909 10.241057 16.994975
2025-06-22 1.351891 1.947104 2.830192 4.281780 6.701846 10.757761 18.498052
2025-06-29 1.271265 1.858514 2.746144 4.236864 6.786134 11.186766 19.893640
2025-07-06 1.160265 1.715810 2.567647 4.022275 6.559651 11.042774 20.170865
2025-07-13 1.105996 1.659606 2.524152 4.032374 6.731521 11.647024 22.040071
2025-07-20 1.070767 1.631155 2.523044 4.114054 7.039112 12.539856 24.650703
2025-07-27 1.037403 1.603170 2.520078 4.191160 7.344656 13.464083 27.487541
2025-08-03 1.000473 1.566664 2.499743 4.234526 7.589211 14.294959 30.261621
2025-08-10 0.964014 1.528453 2.473447 4.263933 7.808142 15.098087 33.115495
2025-08-17 0.905655 1.449612 2.371383 4.143464 7.715194 15.227178 34.346638
2025-08-24 0.863420 1.396027 2.310269 4.095478 7.764367 15.669248 36.445596
2025-08-31 0.827519 1.351422 2.262299 4.068805 7.854644 16.212860 38.912491
2025-09-07 0.818225 1.353000 2.297769 4.208462 8.312725 17.660080 44.141460
2025-09-14 0.787470 1.314485 2.256911 4.191491 8.426566 18.306662 47.237943
2025-09-21 0.755124 1.271398 2.204929 4.147692 8.475825 18.801512 49.990943